State-sector reform, privatisation framework with FDI screening, tax and procurement reform, pension reform, sanctions analysis and the Economic Development Strategy 2035 — the policy work that a democratic government can pick up on day one.
The mandate
The Representation for Economy and Finance of the United Transitional Cabinet prepares the economic reforms a democratic Belarus will need on day one, analyses the current regime's economy and its co-aggression financing, and represents the democratic forces before European institutions, the UK, Ukraine and international financial organisations.
Reform packages
State-sector reform. A concept for the 1 500+ state enterprises: professional management on KPIs, independent directors, IFRS reporting, privatisation of non-strategic assets, and a mandatory 3–5 % of revenue invested in R&D. The concept was funded by the German Marshall Fund, handed to the Coordination Council for hearings, and is being developed with trade unions: a list of enterprises that will not be sold, a national welfare fund and a map of social protection for workers. The analytical engine is Belsoe.org.
Privatisation framework with FDI screening. How to sell what should be sold — transparently, through the stock exchange (at least 30 % of large privatised companies listed), with screening of investors against national-security and sanctions criteria.
Public-procurement reform. EU-standard competitive procedures and e-procurement: a saving of €700–900 million a year, of which €200–250 million goes directly to teachers' salaries.
Tax reform. Cut the mandatory burden from over 50 % to 30–35 % of profit; a single payment for small business; 150–200 % R&D deduction; tax holidays for high-tech start-ups; ten times fewer inspections.
Pension reform. A three-pillar system (basic state pension, mandatory funded accounts, voluntary savings) that creates €30–40 billion of long-term domestic capital in 15 years.
Energy, housing, investment protection, capital market — each with a costed plan inside Strategy 2035.
Analysis and international work
- Analytical notes and a formal addendum for the EEAS on the partial OFAC sanctions relief for Belarusian banks and potash (2026).
- Policy paper on the geopolitical risks of lifting potash sanctions for the EU and Lithuania; position on Mozyr refinery in the EU's 21st sanctions package.
- Analysis of Belarus's demographic crisis and its consequences for the pension system and labour market.
- Needs assessment of the democratic forces' institutional needs, mapped onto the EU multiannual budget 2028–2034.
- Briefings for the UK FCDO, the European Commission consultative group, the EU Democracy Shield, ALDE Congress and the World Bank.
Documents and position papers are published below as they are released.
